Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned? Odds & Predictions
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
6.8%
▲ 1.8
Before Jul 1, 2026
6.8%
▲ 1.8
Before Nov 1, 2026
19%
Before Nov 1, 2026
19%
Before Apr 1, 2026
No
Before Apr 1, 2026
No
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
If Benjamin Netanyahu receives a pardon, clemency, or substantially equivalent official act of legal forgiveness from a competent authority in before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from the Office of the President of Israel.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 10, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the pardon is officially granted or announced. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 1, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXNETANYAHUPARDON
EventKXNETANYAHUPARDON-26
MarketKXNETANYAHUPARDON-26-JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.