Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Chance
No other person
48%
No other person
48%
Dan Driscoll
11%
Dan Driscoll
11%
Joni Ernst
10%
Joni Ernst
10%
More markets
Market Rules
No other person
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNEXTDEF
EventKXNEXTDEF-29
MarketKXNEXTDEF-29-NONE
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