Cash

Trending Midterms Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live161 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE161

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Small business hedging Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? Odds & Predictions

Series Image

Trump

Who will be Trump’s next Secretary of Defense?

Chance

Dan Driscoll

26%

Dan Driscoll

26%

No other person

24%

▼ 3

No other person

24%

▼ 3

Dan Sullivan

10%

Dan Sullivan

10%

More markets

Who will be Trump’s next Secretary of Defense?

No other person

Dollars$

Odds

26% chance

Max payout

Jan 20, 2029

$0

$65,812 vol

AI Digest · Two people tell NBC Trump weighs replacing Hegseth as Driscoll gains

Not advice

More Politics Markets

Trending Politics markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?US-Iran nuclear deal?Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?Will the House impeach Trump?Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Politics hub

All Politics markets