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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? Odds & Predictions
Politics
·
Trump
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
Politics
·
Trump
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
Chance
No other person
53%
Yes
55¢
No
47¢
No other person
53%
Yes
55¢
No
47¢
Robert O'Brien
16%
Yes
16¢
No
86¢
Robert O'Brien
16%
Yes
16¢
No
86¢
Ric Grenell
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Ric Grenell
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
2 more
Market Rules
No other person
If the next new Secretary of State before Jan 20, 2029 is no other person, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Apr 1, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 20, 2029 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXNEXTSTATE
Event
KXNEXTSTATE-29
Market
KXNEXTSTATE-29-NONE
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$5,247 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL