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Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? Odds & Predictions 2029
Elections
·
International elections
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Elections
·
International elections
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Chance
Andy Burnham
89%
▲ 17
Yes
86¢
No
19¢
Andy Burnham
89%
▲ 17
Yes
86¢
No
19¢
Ed Miliband
9.7%
▲ 0.1
Yes
9.5¢
No
95.5¢
Ed Miliband
9.7%
▲ 0.1
Yes
9.5¢
No
95.5¢
Angela Rayner
1.7%
▼ 4.3
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.3¢
Angela Rayner
1.7%
▼ 4.3
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.3¢
More markets
Market Rules
Andy Burnham
Resolves Yes if
Andy Burnham is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030
.
Outcome verified from
The New York Times
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Sep 16, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2030 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXNEXTUKPM
Event
KXNEXTUKPM-30
Market
KXNEXTUKPM-30-ABUR
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
$863,542 vol
1D
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