Will OpenAI release non-mini o3 before March 2025? Odds & Predictions
Will OpenAI release non-mini o3 before March 2025?
Will OpenAI release non-mini o3 before March 2025?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes ifOpenAI releases A new large language model released by OpenAI that begins with 'o3' but does not have 'mini' in its name before Mar 1, 2025.Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 6, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 1, 2025 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXO3RELEASE
EventKXO3RELEASE-25
MarketKXO3RELEASE-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.