Who will be Trump's OSTP Director?

Michael Kratsios 98%

Kelvin Droegemeier 3%

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By Dec 31, 2026

% Chance

$30,820vol

Michael Kratsios

98%

Michael Kratsios

98%

Kelvin Droegemeier

-22

Kelvin Droegemeier

-22

Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).

Rules summary for

Michael Kratsios

If Michael Kratsios is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be OSTP Director between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) advises the President on science and technology issues, shapes national strategies, and collaborates with federal agencies, Congress, industry, and global partners to advance innovation. The role also ensures equity and integrity in science and technology initiatives. President-elect Trump has nominated Michael Kratsios for this position, but he has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: WhiteHouse.gov)

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