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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation this year?
Politics
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation this year?
$2,861 vol
Market Rules
If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
C-SPAN
,
the Senate Parliamentarian
,
U.S. Senate
,
ABC
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
MSNBC
,
Semafor
,
ABC
,
the White House
,
Roll Call
,
Bloomberg News
,
The Information
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
the Congressional Record
,
Bloomberg
,
CBS
,
the Senate Budget Committee
,
the Associated Press
,
NBC
,
Punchbowl News
,
The Washington Post
,
AP
,
Axios
,
CNN
,
Reuters
,
CNN
,
official Senate committee websites
,
The New York Times
,
The Hill
,
NBC
,
The Information
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
The Washington Post
,
the House Budget Committee
, and
The New York Times
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Apr 11, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN
Event
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN-27
Market
KXPARLIAMENTARIAN-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.