Jobs numbers in September? Odds & Predictions 2026
Jobs numbers in September?
Jobs numbers in September?
Begins in 114 days · Oct 2, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Above 80,000
41%
▲ 13
Above 80,000
41%
▲ 13
Above 90,000
36%
▲ 13
Above 90,000
36%
▲ 13
Above 100,000
32%
▲ 8
Above 100,000
32%
▲ 8
10 more
Market Rules
Above -25,000
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from BLS.
The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 13, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesOct 2, 2026 · 8:29am EDT
Projected payoutOct 2, 2026 · 10:05am EDT
SeriesKXPAYROLLS
EventKXPAYROLLS-26SEP
MarketKXPAYROLLS-26SEP-T-25000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases a monthly jobs report, which provides a comprehensive snapshot of nonfarm employment in the US. The report includes data on the number of jobs added and the unemployment rate. Recent reports have shown significant job growth, with 272,000 jobs added in May and an unemployment rate of 4%. This data is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, which is currently seeking to curb inflation and is looking for signs of moderation in the labor market.