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Zohran Mamdani NYC Primary First Round Percent of Vote Odds & Predictions 2025
Elections
·
Primaries
Zohran Mamdani NYC Primary First Round Percent of Vote
Elections
·
Primaries
Zohran Mamdani NYC Primary First Round Percent of Vote
35% or more
Yes
35% or more
Yes
40% or more
Yes
40% or more
Yes
45% or more
No
45% or more
No
4 more
Important information:
Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.
Market Rules
20% or more
The outcome is 43.80%
Resolves Yes if
Zohran Mamdani has 20 percent or more of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary first round in 2025
.
Outcome verified from
The Source Agencies are NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
,
Federal Election Commission
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Bloomberg News
,
New York Times
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
NPR
,
Politico
,
in hierarchical order
,
Secretary of State of <geography>
,
NBC News
,
ABC News
,
CBS News
, and
official government website of <geography>
.
Note: this event is directional.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 24, 2025 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 23, 2025 at 1:18am EDT.
Series
KXPCTVOTEMAMR1
Event
KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25
Market
KXPCTVOTEMAMR1-25-ZMAM-T20
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 2026
2026 Primary Elections