Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin
Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin
Chance
Nithya Raman, 2-3%
10%
Nithya Raman, 2-3%
10%
Nithya Raman, 3-4%
9%
▲ 1
Nithya Raman, 3-4%
9%
▲ 1
Nithya Raman, 4-5%
12%
▲ 2
Nithya Raman, 4-5%
12%
▲ 2
11 more
Market Rules
Spencer Pratt, ≥6%
If Spencer Pratt's margin over Nithya Raman is between 6 and 100 percentage points in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from City of Los Angeles.
Margins are unrounded and inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 4, 2026 · 2:45pm EDT
Market closesJun 5, 2027 · 10:00am EDT
Projected payoutJun 5, 2027 · 10:30am EDT
SeriesKXRAMANPRATTDIFF
EventKXRAMANPRATTDIFF-26JUN05
MarketKXRAMANPRATTDIFF-26JUN05-SPRA53
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.