Will RFK Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote?
Will RFK Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Market Rules
Yes
Resolves Yes if RFK Jr. receives more than 1% of the national popular vote.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 1, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXRFKSHARE
EventKXRFKSHARE
MarketKXRFKSHARE
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on Presidential campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
- Paid employees of party organizations which are listed as strikes, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice-President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Yes
Odds
0% chanceMax payout