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When will a budget resolution pass the Senate?

Before Feb 21, 2025 20%
Before Feb 28, 2025 75%
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7:33 PM8:53 PM10:14 PM11:35 PM12:55 AM0%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
% Chance
$4,619vol

Before Feb 21, 2025
20%
-50
Before Feb 21, 2025
20%
-50

Before Feb 28, 2025
75%
Before Feb 28, 2025
75%

Before Mar 7, 2025
88%
Before Mar 7, 2025
88%

Rules summary for
Before Feb 21, 2025
If a budget resolution pass the Senate before Feb 21, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
A budget resolution is typically designated by being: a resolution and not a bill; being introduced by Chair of House Budget; including provisions setting budgetary totals; having a title like "Establishing the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal years XXXX through XXXX, and setting forth appropriate budgetary levels…”

Timeline and payout

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When will a budget resolution pass the Senate?
Buy Yes · Before Feb 21, 2025
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