Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
Chance
Before July 2026
1.2%
Before July 2026
1.2%
Before Nov 3, 2026
Midterms
7%
Before Nov 3, 2026
Midterms
7%
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before July 2026
If Chuck Schumer is no longer Senate Minority Leader before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the United States Congress, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 24, 2025 · 5:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSCHUMEROUT
EventKXSCHUMEROUT-25
MarketKXSCHUMEROUT-25-JULY26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.