Who will be Trump's Secretary of Homeland Security? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump's Secretary of Homeland Security?
Who will be Trump's Secretary of Homeland Security?
Kristi Noem
Yes
Kristi Noem
Yes
Chad Wolf
No
Chad Wolf
No
Thomas Homan
No
Thomas Homan
No
2 more
Market Rules
Kristi Noem
The outcome is Kristi Noem
Resolves Yes ifKristi Noem is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Homeland Security between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 12, 2024 · 9:30am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 27, 2025 at 2:52pm EST.
SeriesKXSECHOMELAND
EventKXSECHOMELAND-26DEC31
MarketKXSECHOMELAND-26DEC31-KN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.