Will the upper stage of the SpaceX Starship be recovered intact in 2025?

$32,694 vol

Market Rules

The outcome is No

If the SpaceX Starship's upper stage is recovered intact before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and SpaceX.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 19, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXSPACEXREUSE

EventKXSPACEXREUSE-25

MarketKXSPACEXREUSE-25

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.