How many Starship launches will reach space this year?

Chance

Above 3

--%

Above 4

Above 5

7 more

Above 3

If above 3 Starship launches reach Space in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from SpaceX.

A Starship will be considered to have reached space if its maximum altitude is at least 62 miles above sea level at any point during its flight.

Note: this event is directional.

Timeline and payout

Market openJun 11, 2026 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXSTARSHIPSPACE

EventKXSTARSHIPSPACE-26B

MarketKXSTARSHIPSPACE-26B-3

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.