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When will Trump end his tariffs against China?

Before May 2025 1%
Before Jun 2025 11%
Before Dec 2025 23%
Mar 18Mar 26Apr 2Apr 9Apr 170%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
Chance
$23,898vol

Before May 2025
1%
▼ 3

Before Jun 2025
11%

Before Dec 2025
23%
▲ 1

1 more markets

Rules summary for
Before Dec 2025
If the general import tariffs on China are fully removed before Dec 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the United States Congress, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Merely suspending the tariffs from being in effect is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.

Timeline and payout

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When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Buy Yes · Before Dec 2025
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Payout if Yes wins
$0