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When will Trump end his tariffs against China? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Politics
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Jun 2025
Yes
Before Jun 2025
Yes
Before Aug 2025
Yes
Before Aug 2025
Yes
Before Dec 2025
Yes
Before Dec 2025
Yes
2 more
Market Rules
Before Apr 2025
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
the general import tariffs on China are fully removed before Apr 1, 2025
.
Outcome verified from
the United States Congress
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
Merely suspending the tariffs from being in effect is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 18, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2025 at 10:00am EDT.
Series
KXTARIFFENDPRC
Event
KXTARIFFENDPRC-25
Market
KXTARIFFENDPRC-25-APR
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$205,925 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL