Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
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Before 2026
% Chance
$263,280vol
Deepseek
43%
+2
Deepseek
43%
+2
Anthropic
35%
Anthropic
35%
xAI
31%
-2
xAI
31%
-2
7 more markets
Rules summary for
Deepseek
If Deepseek has a sole #1 ranked AI model (checked at 10am ET daily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LMSYS.
Timeline and payout
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Buy Yes · DeepseekBuy
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