Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Before 2026
% Chance
$329,851vol
Anthropic
41%
Anthropic
41%
Deepseek
33%
Deepseek
33%
Alibaba
19%
Alibaba
19%
7 more markets
Rules summary for
Anthropic
If Anthropic has a sole #1 ranked AI model (checked at 10am ET daily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.