Series Image

Will Trudeau resign as leader of the Liberals before April?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
DecDecDecJanApr50%62.5%75%87.5%100%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Apr 2025 (+0)
$33,612vol

Yes


Rules summary
The outcome is Yes
If Justin Trudeau resigns, or announces their intent to resign, as leader of the Liberals before Apr 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.

Timeline and payout