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  1. Trump

Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Resolves on the announcement, not the departure date
3
Chance
Howard Lutnick
Secretary of Commerce
62%

Howard Lutnick

Secretary of Commerce
62%
Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
67%

Marco Rubio

Secretary of State
67%
Scott Bessent
Secretary of the Treasury
57%

Scott Bessent

Secretary of the Treasury
57%
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Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028?

Kash Patel

Odds
78% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2027
$0
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