When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before May 1%
Before July 21%
Before 2026 52%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$54,725vol
Before May
<1%
Before June
--%
Before July
21%
▼ 7
Before 2026
52%
Rules summary for
Before 2026
If Tesla launches unsupervised full self-driving in their cars (including in a robotaxi service) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Elon Musk, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
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