Will wage satisfaction hit a new low this year?
Will wage satisfaction hit a new low this year?
Begins in 144 days · Nov 15, 11:00pm EST
Chance
Below 52.3%
93%
Below 52.3%
93%
Market Rules
Below 52.3%
Resolves Yes if any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Survey measure for satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs.
The March 2026 value of 52.3% will be treated as the existing series low. A value equal to 52.3% will not be sufficient for this market to resolve Yes; the reported value must be strictly below 52.3%.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 19, 2026 · 2:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXWAGESAT
EventKXWAGESAT-26NOV16
MarketKXWAGESAT-26NOV16-T52.3
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.