2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? Odds & Predictions
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
Chance
Democratic Sweep
D-House, D-Senate, D-President
49%
Democratic Sweep
D-House, D-Senate, D-President
49%
Republican Sweep
R-House, R-Senate, R-President
24%
Republican Sweep
R-House, R-Senate, R-President
24%
D-House, R-Senate, D-President
12%
D-House, R-Senate, D-President
12%
5 more
Market Rules
Democratic Sweep
Resolves Yes ifthe Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 3, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 minute after closing
This market will close on February 1 following the election at 10:00 AM ET or the first date thereafter that data is available. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 7, 2029 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesPOWER
EventPOWER-28
MarketPOWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on Presidential campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice-President of the United States.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.