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  5. Coaches

NBA Head Coaches 2026-27

All 30 NBA head coaches for 2026-27, with Kalshi's Coach of the Year odds beside each. Will Hardy (Utah Jazz) leads at 13% in the Coach of the Year market. On the hot seat: Nick Nurse, 41% to be out before Jul 1, 2027.
Live marketUpdated Friday, Oct 23, 2026 · 2:06 AM ET
Where these numbers come from: Every price is a Kalshi market — Coach of the Year, "out by date" and next head coach — not a forecast. Which club each coach leads comes from the league's own coaches feed.
COACH OF THE YEAR

2026-27 NBA head coaches, by Coach of the Year odds

All 30 coaches the Coach of the Year market lists.
2026-27 NBA head coaches, by Coach of the Year odds
CoachClubCOY7dHot seatTrade
1Will Hardy
UTA Jazz13%+4pp—Yes 17¢
2Sean Sweeney
ORL Magic9%−2pp—Yes 9¢
3Darko Rajaković
TOR Raptors7%−4pp—Yes 10¢
4Nick Nurse
PHI 76ers7%−5pp41% outYes 7¢
5Erik Spoelstra
MIA Heat6%−5pp—Yes 6¢
6Chris Finch
MIN Timberwolves5%−5pp—Yes 7¢
7Rick Carlisle
IND Pacers5%−2pp—Yes 7¢
8JJ Redick
LAL Lakers5%−3pp—Yes 5¢
9Ime Udoka
HOU Rockets4%−2pp—Yes 5¢
10Micah Nori
POR Trail Blazers4%+1pp—Yes 5¢
11J.B. Bickerstaff
DET Pistons4%+1pp—Yes 4¢
12Joe Mazzulla
BOS Celtics4%+1pp—Yes 5¢
13Mike Brown
NY Knicks4%−1pp29% outYes 4¢
14Charles Lee
CHA Hornets3%−2pp—Yes 3¢
15Mark Daigneault
OKC Thunder3%−2pp—Yes 3¢
16Mitch Johnson
SA Spurs3%−2pp—Yes 3¢
17Quin Snyder
ATL Hawks3%−1pp—Yes 3¢
18Tuomas Iisalo
MEM Grizzlies3%+1pp—Yes 3¢
19Brian Keefe
WSH Wizards2%−3pp—Yes 3¢
20Dusty May
DAL Mavericks2%−4pp—Yes 3¢
21Jamahl Mosley
NO Pelicans2%−1pp—Yes 2¢
22Jordan Ott
PHX Suns2%−2pp—Yes 2¢
23Jordi Fernández
BKN Nets2%−1pp—Yes 2¢
24David Adelman
DEN Nuggets1%--—Yes 2¢
25Kenny Atkinson
CLE Cavaliers1%--—Yes 2¢
26Steve Kerr
GS Warriors1%--27% outYes 2¢
27Taylor Jenkins
MIL Bucks1%−2pp—Yes 2¢
28Tiago Splitter
CHI Bulls1%−1pp—Yes 2¢
29Tyronn Lue
LAC Clippers1%--—Yes 2¢
30Doug Christie
SAC Kings<1%--—Yes 1¢
HOT SEAT

Coaches the market thinks could be out

Kalshi lists an "out by date" market on 3 coaches. Each rung pays out if the coach leaves the job before that date.
NBA coaches with an open out-by-date market
CoachOut beforeOddsTrade
Nick NursePhiladelphia 76ers
Oct 25, 20263%Yes 6¢
Nick NurseFeb 12, 202717%Yes 89¢
Nick NurseJul 1, 202741%Yes 85¢
Mike BrownNew York Knicks
Oct 25, 20261%Yes 2¢
Mike BrownJul 1, 202714%Yes 15¢
Mike BrownOct 25, 202729%Yes 32¢
Steve KerrGolden State Warriors
Oct 25, 20261%Yes 2¢
Steve KerrJul 1, 202722%Yes 25¢
Steve KerrOct 25, 202727%Yes 31¢
METHOD

How these odds work

Each Coach of the Year figure is the price of a Kalshi contract that pays 100¢ if that coach wins the award and nothing otherwise, so its price in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. A tight book shows its midpoint and a wide one its last trade, so the column does not have to sum to exactly 100%.

The "out by date" markets are separate contracts on whether a coach leaves the job — fired, resigned or otherwise — before a given date. Kalshi lists them only for coaches the market thinks might go, which is what makes them a hot seat list. The board shows the furthest date still open, because that is the widest question each ladder asks.

Kalshi's coaching markets name a person, not a club, so the club beside each coach comes from the league's own coaches feed. The feed is also the authority on a vacancy: a club it lists with no head coach is shown as vacant, beside its next-head-coach market where Kalshi lists one.

FAQ

Questions

Who is the favourite for 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?
Will Hardy (Utah Jazz) leads at 13% on Kalshi. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Which NBA coaches are on the hot seat?
Kalshi lists "out by date" markets on 3 coaches: Nick Nurse, 41% to be out before Jul 1, 2027; Mike Brown, 29% to be out before Oct 25, 2027; Steve Kerr, 27% to be out before Oct 25, 2027.
Which new NBA head coaches did Kalshi's markets settle on for 2026-27?
Micah Nori to the Portland Trail Blazers, Sean Sweeney to the Orlando Magic, Jamahl Mosley to the New Orleans Pelicans, Taylor Jenkins to the Milwaukee Bucks and Tiago Splitter to the Chicago Bulls. These are the vacancies whose next-head-coach market graded to a listed candidate; a club that hired someone the market never listed does not appear here.
How many head coaches are in the NBA?
Thirty clubs, each with one head coach when the job is filled. Kalshi's Coach of the Year market lists all 30.
MORE

Related pages

NBA Coach of the Year WinnerNBA MVP oddsNBA Rookie of the Year oddsNBA championship oddsNBA markets
NBA Coach of the Year market

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

Buy Yes if you think the team wins it. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • UTA Jazz13%
    Yes 17¢No 92¢
  • ORL Magic9%
    Yes 9¢No 92¢
  • TOR Raptors7%
    Yes 10¢No 96¢
  • PHI 76ers7%
    Yes 7¢No 94¢
  • MIA Heat6%
    Yes 6¢No 95¢
    • MIN Timberwolves5%
      Yes 7¢No 97¢
    • IND Pacers5%
      Yes 7¢No 97¢
    • LAL Lakers5%
      Yes 5¢No 96¢