NBA Head Coaches 2026-27
All 30 NBA head coaches for 2026-27, with Kalshi's Coach of the Year odds beside each. JJ Redick (Los Angeles Lakers) leads at 12% in the Coach of the Year market. On the hot seat: Nick Nurse, 46% to be out before Jul 1, 2027.
Live marketUpdated Friday, Oct 9, 2026 · 6:38 AM ET
Where these numbers come from: Every price is a Kalshi market — Coach of the Year, "out by date" and next head coach — not a forecast. Which club each coach leads comes from the league's own coaches feed.
COACH OF THE YEARAll 30 coaches the Coach of the Year market lists.
2026-27 NBA head coaches, by Coach of the Year odds
| Coach | Club | COY | 7d | Hot seat | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Redick | LAL Lakers | 12% | +8pp | — | Yes 59¢ |
Will Hardy | UTA Jazz | 7% | −2pp | — | Yes 9¢ |
Chris Finch | MIN Timberwolves | 6% | −4pp | — | Yes 9¢ |
Erik Spoelstra | MIA Heat | 6% | -- | — | Yes 9¢ |
Nick Nurse | PHI 76ers | 6% | -- | 46% out | Yes 10¢ |
Sean Sweeney | ORL Magic | 6% | −4pp | — | Yes 10¢ |
Rick Carlisle | IND Pacers | 4% | −2pp | — | Yes 5¢ |
Micah Nori | POR Trail Blazers | 4% | +2pp | — | Yes 5¢ |
Ime Udoka | HOU Rockets | 3% | -- | — | Yes 5¢ |
Darko Rajaković | TOR Raptors | 3% | −9pp | — | Yes 3¢ |
Mitch Johnson | SA Spurs | 3% | −2pp | — | Yes 3¢ |
Taylor Jenkins | MIL Bucks | 3% | -- | — | Yes 3¢ |
Brian Keefe | WSH Wizards | 2% | −48pp | — | Yes 4¢ |
Mike Brown | NY Knicks | 2% | -- | 27% out | Yes 3¢ |
Charles Lee | CHA Hornets | 2% | −3pp | — | Yes 2¢ |
Dusty May | DAL Mavericks | 2% | −29pp | — | Yes 2¢ |
J.B. Bickerstaff | DET Pistons | 2% | +1pp | — | Yes 2¢ |
Jamahl Mosley | NO Pelicans | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Joe Mazzulla | BOS Celtics | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Jordan Ott | PHX Suns | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Jordi Fernández | BKN Nets | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Mark Daigneault | OKC Thunder | 2% | −3pp | — | Yes 2¢ |
Quin Snyder | ATL Hawks | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Tuomas Iisalo | MEM Grizzlies | 2% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
David Adelman | DEN Nuggets | 1% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Kenny Atkinson | CLE Cavaliers | 1% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Steve Kerr | GS Warriors | 1% | -- | 27% out | Yes 2¢ |
Tiago Splitter | CHI Bulls | 1% | −1pp | — | Yes 2¢ |
Tyronn Lue | LAC Clippers | 1% | -- | — | Yes 2¢ |
Doug Christie | SAC Kings | <1% | -- | — | Yes 1¢ |
HOT SEATKalshi lists an "out by date" market on 3 coaches. Each rung pays out if the coach leaves the job before that date.
Coaches the market thinks could be out
| Coach | Out before | Odds | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Nick NursePhiladelphia 76ers | Oct 25, 2026 | 3% | Yes 5¢ |
| Nick Nurse | Feb 12, 2027 | 26% | Yes 30¢ |
| Nick Nurse | Jul 1, 2027 | 46% | Yes 50¢ |
Steve KerrGolden State Warriors | Oct 25, 2026 | 2% | Yes 3¢ |
| Steve Kerr | Jul 1, 2027 | 22% | Yes 25¢ |
| Steve Kerr | Oct 25, 2027 | 27% | Yes 31¢ |
Mike BrownNew York Knicks | Oct 25, 2026 | 1% | Yes 2¢ |
| Mike Brown | Jul 1, 2027 | 14% | Yes 15¢ |
| Mike Brown | Oct 25, 2027 | 27% | Yes 28¢ |
REPLACED THIS SEASONThe league's feed records 4 clubs changing head coach for 2026-27: who left, and who replaced them.
Coaching changes
| Club | Out | In |
|---|---|---|
| CHI Bulls | Billy Donovan | Tiago Splitter |
| DAL Mavericks | Jason Kidd | Dusty May |
| MIL Bucks | Doc Rivers | Taylor Jenkins |
| NO Pelicans | James Borrego | Jamahl Mosley |
NEXT HEAD COACHWho each club hires next, by price. A line reading "No new coach" resolves Yes if the job is never vacated — so a high price on it is the market backing the coach in place, not a vacancy.
Who clubs hire next
Golden State Warriors: next head coach
- Steve Kerr / No new coach99%
- Charles Lee2%
- Chris Quinn2%
- Todd Golden2%
- Frank Vogel1%
METHOD
How these odds work
Each Coach of the Year figure is the price of a Kalshi contract that pays 100¢ if that coach wins the award and nothing otherwise, so its price in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. A tight book shows its midpoint and a wide one its last trade, so the column does not have to sum to exactly 100%.
The "out by date" markets are separate contracts on whether a coach leaves the job — fired, resigned or otherwise — before a given date. Kalshi lists them only for coaches the market thinks might go, which is what makes them a hot seat list. The board shows the furthest date still open, because that is the widest question each ladder asks.
Kalshi's coaching markets name a person, not a club, so the club beside each coach comes from the league's own coaches feed. The feed is also the authority on a vacancy: a club it lists with no head coach is shown as vacant, beside its next-head-coach market where Kalshi lists one.
FAQ
Questions
Who is the favourite for 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year?
JJ Redick (Los Angeles Lakers) leads at 12% on Kalshi. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Which NBA coaches are on the hot seat?
Kalshi lists "out by date" markets on 3 coaches: Nick Nurse, 46% to be out before Jul 1, 2027; Steve Kerr, 27% to be out before Oct 25, 2027; Mike Brown, 27% to be out before Oct 25, 2027.
Which NBA teams changed head coach for 2026-27?
By the league's own coaches feed, the Chicago Bulls replaced Billy Donovan with Tiago Splitter, the Dallas Mavericks replaced Jason Kidd with Dusty May, the Milwaukee Bucks replaced Doc Rivers with Taylor Jenkins and the New Orleans Pelicans replaced James Borrego with Jamahl Mosley.
How many head coaches are in the NBA?
Thirty clubs, each with one head coach when the job is filled. Kalshi's Coach of the Year market lists all 30.