NBA trade deadline
The NBA trade deadline is 12 Feb 2027 — 112 days away. Kalshi prices 58 named players on whether they are traded before it. 46 of the 58 contracts are still trading. 12 have already moved, and the transaction log names the club for each of them.
112 days to goUpdated Friday, Oct 23, 2026 · 3:25 AM ET
What the percentage is: The percentage is Kalshi's own market price, not a projection. A player marked Traded has a contract the exchange has already graded Yes, and the club beneath his name comes from the league's transaction log — two independent sources agreeing on the same move.
MARKETThe live market first, shortest price at the top; every contract the exchange has already graded sits below it. The percentage is the market's price for Yes, not necessarily its last trade.
NBA players priced to be traded before the deadline
| Player | Traded by deadline | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Zion Williamson | 93% | 0pp | Yes 97¢ |
Kristaps Porzingis | 83% | +56pp | Yes 84¢ |
Michael Porter Jr. | 75% | +21pp | Yes 75¢ |
Domantas Sabonis | 59% | +11pp | Yes 59¢ |
Jarred Vanderbilt | 45% | 0pp | Yes 45¢ |
Trey Murphy | 45% | −10pp | Yes 52¢ |
Kyrie Irving | 44% | −9pp | Yes 62¢ |
Rudy Gobert | 42% | −1pp | Yes 42¢ |
Anthony Davis | 40% | +2pp | Yes 41¢ |
Daniel Gafford | 40% | −2pp | Yes 45¢ |
Sam Hauser | 38% | 0pp | Yes 41¢ |
Myles Turner | 37% | −3pp | Yes 39¢ |
PJ Washington | 37% | +1pp | Yes 40¢ |
Aaron Gordon | 36% | +16pp | Yes 35¢ |
Jakob Poeltl | 34% | 0pp | Yes 29¢ |
Andrew Wiggins | 33% | 0pp | Yes 40¢ |
Donte DiVincenzo | 33% | −9pp | Yes 96¢ |
De'Aaron Fox | 30% | +8pp | Yes 86¢ |
Jimmy Butler | 29% | −2pp | Yes 32¢ |
Jalen Green | 26% | 0pp | Yes 95¢ |
Jamal Murray | 25% | +2pp | Yes 28¢ |
Lauri Markkanen | 25% | +1pp | Yes 32¢ |
Joel Embiid | 24% | 0pp | Yes 66¢ |
Franz Wagner | 23% | 0pp | Yes 26¢ |
Brandon IngramTraded toLAC Clippers· 14 Sept 2026 | 100% | +8pp | — |
Grayson AllenTraded toCHA Hornets· 13 Jul 2026 | 100% | +5pp | — |
Isaiah JoeTraded toDET Pistons· 6 Jul 2026 | 100% | +1pp | — |
Ja MorantTraded toPOR Trail Blazers· 29 Jun 2026 | 100% | +25pp | — |
Jaylen BrownTraded toPHI 76ers· 6 Jul 2026 | 100% | +31pp | — |
Jerami GrantTraded toMEM Grizzlies· 29 Jun 2026 | 100% | -- | — |
Kawhi LeonardTraded toTOR Raptors· 14 Sept 2026 | 100% | +2pp | — |
LaMelo BallTraded toMIN Timberwolves· 10 Jul 2026 | 100% | +2pp | — |
Luguentz DortTraded toATL Hawks· 19 Jul 2026 | 100% | +63pp | — |
Miles BridgesTraded toPHX Suns· 13 Jul 2026 | 100% | +2pp | — |
Nic ClaxtonTraded toCHI Bulls· 10 Jul 2026 | 100% | +2pp | — |
Paul GeorgeTraded toBOS Celtics· 6 Jul 2026 | 100% | -- | — |
COMPLETEDFrom the league's own transaction log — every club, not only the players the exchange prices. Each card is one deal, and each line is one club and the players it received.
Latest completed trades
Completed NBA trades by date6 trades
27 Sept 2026
- CHI BullsreceivedBuddy HieldG-F
- CHA HornetsreceivedRob DillinghamG
22 Sept 2026
- CHA HornetsreceivedRyan NembhardGBuddy HieldG-F
- ATL HawksreceivedDorian Finney-SmithF
14 Sept 2026Brandon Ingram's Kalshi market settledYes
- LAC ClippersreceivedGradey DickG-FBrandon IngramF
- TOR RaptorsreceivedKawhi LeonardF
8 Sept 2026
- MEM GrizzliesreceivedJordan HawkinsGMicah PeavyF
- NO PelicansreceivedTaj GibsonF-CAJ JohnsonG
29 Aug 2026
- UTA JazzreceivedJosh GreenF-G
- MIN TimberwolvesreceivedJohn KoncharG-FCody WilliamsF
20 Aug 2026part of 5-team deal
- CHA HornetsfromCLE CavaliersDennis SchroderG
- WSH WizardsfromCHA HornetsTre MannG
- LAC ClippersfromCLE CavaliersMax StrusF-G
- CLE CavaliersreceivedCam WhitmoreFPeyton WatsonF
METHOD
How this market works
Every row is one contract: will this player be traded before the deadline? The percentage is the market's price for Yes — the middle of the book where the spread is tight, and the last trade where it is not — so it moves with the book rather than with anyone's opinion of it.
Contracts resolve at the deadline itself, 12 Feb 2027. A player traded before then settles Yes; one still at his club when it passes settles No. The board ranks the live contracts by price and puts the already-settled rows below them, because a settled row cannot answer the question the board is read for.
The club under a settled row is the league's, not the market's. 87 players have been traded this season, which the trade tracker lists in full. Only the players Kalshi prices appear on the board above.
The log is joined to a contract on the player id it carries, and on the player's name where the vendor left that id off the row. A move older than the window the log keeps matches neither, so a settled row occasionally shows no club.
FAQ
Questions
When is the NBA trade deadline?
12 Feb 2027. That is when Kalshi's trade contracts resolve, so it is the date the board above is counting down to.
Which players are most likely to be traded?
The market's shortest price is on Zion Williamson, Kristaps Porzingis, Michael Porter Jr. — but a price is a price rather than a prediction, and the board shows 36 of the 58 it quotes.
Which of these players have already been traded?
12 of the 58 contracts have settled Yes, meaning the player has moved. They sit below the live market on the board above, each with the club the league's own transaction log says he joined.
How many NBA trades have there been this season?
87 players have changed clubs by trade since 22 Jun 2026. The trade tracker lists every one; this page covers only the players the exchange prices.
Can I trade on where a player ends up?
The board above prices whether a player moves at all. Markets on where a player lands are listed separately when the exchange opens them.