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  5. Trade Deadline

NBA trade deadline

The NBA trade deadline is 12 Feb 2027 — 122 days away. Kalshi prices 58 named players on whether they are traded before it. 48 of the 58 contracts are still trading. 10 have already moved, and the transaction log names the club for each of them.
122 days to goUpdated Tuesday, Oct 13, 2026 · 2:28 AM ET
What the percentage is: The percentage is Kalshi's own market price, not a projection. A player marked Traded has a contract the exchange has already graded Yes, and the club beneath his name comes from the league's transaction log — two independent sources agreeing on the same move.
MARKET

NBA players priced to be traded before the deadline

The live market first, shortest price at the top; every contract the exchange has already graded sits below it. The percentage is the market's price for Yes, not necessarily its last trade.
NBA players priced to be traded before the deadline
PlayerTraded by deadline7dTrade
1Kawhi Leonard
99%+2ppTrade
2Brandon Ingram
97%+15ppYes 97¢
3Zion Williamson
93%+50ppYes 98¢
4Domantas Sabonis
66%−7ppYes 72¢
5Trey Murphy
62%−3ppYes 66¢
6Michael Porter Jr.
54%0ppYes 53¢
7Zach LaVine
53%−5ppYes 56¢
8Rudy Gobert
43%0ppYes 43¢
9Daniel Gafford
42%+1ppYes 45¢
10Jarred Vanderbilt
42%−4ppYes 45¢
11Anthony Davis
40%−3ppYes 41¢
12Dyson Daniels
40%−3ppYes 43¢
13Sam Hauser
39%+1ppYes 42¢
14Donte DiVincenzo
38%−4ppYes 42¢
15Kyrie Irving
37%−4ppYes 41¢
16Myles Turner
37%−3ppYes 40¢
17Andrew Wiggins
37%+4ppYes 40¢
18Derrick White
37%−1ppYes 40¢
19PJ Washington
37%+1ppYes 40¢
20Kevin Durant
35%+1ppYes 38¢
21Jakob Poeltl
35%+1ppYes 35¢
22Jalen Green
31%+16ppYes 35¢
23Dejounte Murray
30%--Yes 32¢
24Lauri Markkanen
29%+5ppYes 32¢
25Grayson AllenTraded
toCHA Hornets· 13 Jul 2026
100%+5pp—
26Isaiah JoeTraded
toDET Pistons· 6 Jul 2026
100%+1pp—
27Ja MorantTraded
toPOR Trail Blazers· 29 Jun 2026
100%+25pp—
28Jaylen BrownTraded
toPHI 76ers· 6 Jul 2026
100%+31pp—
29Jerami GrantTraded
toMEM Grizzlies· 29 Jun 2026
100%--—
30LaMelo BallTraded
toMIN Timberwolves· 10 Jul 2026
100%+2pp—
31Luguentz DortTraded
toATL Hawks· 19 Jul 2026
100%+63pp—
32Miles BridgesTraded
toPHX Suns· 13 Jul 2026
100%+2pp—
33Nic ClaxtonTraded
toCHI Bulls· 10 Jul 2026
100%+2pp—
34Paul GeorgeTraded
toBOS Celtics· 6 Jul 2026
100%--—
COMPLETED

Latest completed trades

From the league's own transaction log — every club, not only the players the exchange prices. Each card is one deal, and each line is one club and the players it received.
Completed NBA trades by date
6 trades
27 Sept 2026
  • CHI Bulls
    receivedBuddy HieldG-F
  • CHA Hornets
    receivedRob DillinghamG
22 Sept 2026
  • CHA Hornets
    receivedRyan NembhardG·Buddy HieldG-F
  • ATL Hawks
    receivedDorian Finney-SmithF
14 Sept 2026
  • LAC Clippers
    receivedGradey DickG-F·Brandon IngramF
  • TOR Raptors
    receivedKawhi LeonardF
8 Sept 2026
  • MEM Grizzlies
    receivedJordan HawkinsG·Micah PeavyF
  • NO Pelicans
    receivedTaj GibsonF-C·AJ JohnsonG
29 Aug 2026
  • UTA Jazz
    receivedJosh GreenF-G
  • MIN Timberwolves
    receivedJohn KoncharG-F·Cody WilliamsF
20 Aug 2026part of 5-team deal
  • CHA Hornets
    fromCLE CavaliersDennis SchroderG
  • WSH Wizards
    fromCHA HornetsTre MannG
  • LAC Clippers
    fromCLE CavaliersMax StrusF-G
  • CLE Cavaliers
    receivedCam WhitmoreF·Peyton WatsonF
METHOD

How this market works

Every row is one contract: will this player be traded before the deadline? The percentage is the market's price for Yes — the middle of the book where the spread is tight, and the last trade where it is not — so it moves with the book rather than with anyone's opinion of it.

Contracts resolve at the deadline itself, 12 Feb 2027. A player traded before then settles Yes; one still at his club when it passes settles No. The board ranks the live contracts by price and puts the already-settled rows below them, because a settled row cannot answer the question the board is read for.

The club under a settled row is the league's, not the market's. 87 players have been traded this season, which the trade tracker lists in full. Only the players Kalshi prices appear on the board above.

The log is joined to a contract on the player id it carries, and on the player's name where the vendor left that id off the row. A move older than the window the log keeps matches neither, so a settled row occasionally shows no club.

FAQ

Questions

When is the NBA trade deadline?
12 Feb 2027. That is when Kalshi's trade contracts resolve, so it is the date the board above is counting down to.
Which players are most likely to be traded?
The market's shortest price is on Kawhi Leonard, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson — but a price is a price rather than a prediction, and the board shows 34 of the 58 it quotes.
Which of these players have already been traded?
10 of the 58 contracts have settled Yes, meaning the player has moved. They sit below the live market on the board above, each with the club the league's own transaction log says he joined.
How many NBA trades have there been this season?
87 players have changed clubs by trade since 22 Jun 2026. The trade tracker lists every one; this page covers only the players the exchange prices.
Can I trade on where a player ends up?
Yes — Kalshi lists a separate market per player on his next club, 24 of them currently open. The board above prices whether he moves at all.
MORE

Related pages

NBA trade trackerNBA transactionsNBA championship oddsNBA standingsNBA markets
NBA trade market

NBA Players Traded

Buy Yes if you think the team wins it. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Kawhi Leonard99%
    YesNo 2¢
  • Brandon Ingram97%
    Yes 97¢No 4¢
  • Zion Williamson93%
    Yes 98¢No 90¢
  • Domantas Sabonis66%
    Yes 72¢No 41¢
  • Trey Murphy62%
    Yes 66¢No 42¢
    • Michael Porter Jr.54%
      Yes 53¢No 83¢
    • Zach LaVine53%
      Yes 56¢No 50¢
    • Rudy Gobert43%
      Yes 43¢No 97¢