Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Odds & Chances 2026

Market outlook

Kansas City Chiefs odds

Kansas City Chiefs trades at 8% for 2027 NFL Champion, 15% for AFC Championship Winner and 86% for NFL Playoff Qualifiers.

Market outlook

Kansas City Chiefs markets

2027 NFL Champion

KC Chiefs

11.7x

BUF Bills

7.25x

$152,767,998 vol32 markets

AFC Championship Winner

KC Chiefs

6.29x

BUF Bills

4.31x

$9,962,768 vol16 markets

NFL Playoff Qualifiers

KC Chiefs

1.14x

BUF Bills

1.08x

$2,363,943 vol32 markets

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Kansas City Chiefs Most Traded Players

Kenneth Walker III leads Kansas City Chiefs player trading with 1.3M contracts traded across 71 markets.

1

Kenneth Walker IIIRB · #9 · 1.3M contracts traded

2

Travis KelceTE · #87 · 810.9K contracts traded

3

Patrick MahomesQB · #15 · 586.9K contracts traded

4

Emmett JohnsonRB · #10 · 546.5K contracts traded

5

Rashee RiceWR · #4 · 353.3K contracts traded

6

Tyquan ThorntonWR · #2 · 266K contracts traded

Kansas City Chiefs Record and AFC West Standings

Kansas City Chiefs is 3-0 this season, first in the AFC West.

Rank	Team	Record	Pct	PF	PA
1	Kansas City Chiefs	3-0	100%	88	50
2	Las Vegas Raiders	3-0	100%	88	54
3	Denver Broncos	2-1	67%	60	70
4	Los Angeles Chargers	0-3	0%	44	76

Division marketKansas City Chiefs 54%-1pt

Preseason expectation12+ wins 49%+1pt

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

7 Kansas City Chiefs players carry a game-status designation for Week 4.

Ethan Downs · LBtorn left ACLIR

John Michael Gyllenborg · TEsprained kneeIR

Matt Waletzko · TundisclosedIR

Jeff Caldwell · WRundisclosedIR

Jimmy Holiday · WRquadricepsIR

Cooper McDonald · LBright kneeIR

Josh Simmons · TbackOut

Market watchKC Chiefs vs LV Raiders 66%+1pt

Kansas City Chiefs Roster

Kansas City Chiefs currently lists 0 active players and 76 total players on its regular season roster.

Filter roster

No.	Player	Pos	Exp	College
52	Creed Humphrey	C	6	Oklahoma
64	Hunter Nourzad	C	3	Penn State
50	Pete Nygra	C	R	Louisville
27	Chamarri Conner	CB	4	Virginia Tech
30	Chris Roland-Wallace	CB	3	USC
46	D'Arco Perkins-McAllister	CB	R	Louisiana-Monroe
26	Kader Kohou	CB	5	East Texas A&M
8	Kristian Fulton	CB	6	LSU
38	L'Jarius Sneed	CB	7	Louisiana Tech
5	Mansoor Delane	CB	R	LSU

Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Kansas City Chiefs is priced at a 86% chance to qualify for the 2026-27 playoffs, with a 54% chance to win the AFC West.

Playoffs86%

Kansas City Chiefs path to the postseasonKansas City Chiefs qualifies by winning the AFC West or earning one of the AFC's three wild-card spots.

AFC West: 54%

AFC champion: 15%

League champion: 8%

Kansas City Chiefs Season Stats

Kansas City Chiefs scored 88 points in 2026, seventh-most in the league, while allowing 50 points.

Points scored88#7 NFL

Points allowed50#3 NFL

Passing yards812

Passing yards allowed551

Rushing yards460

Rushing yards allowed299

Sacks4

Sacks allowed4

Season leader	Player	Total
Passing yards	Patrick Mahomes	812
Rushing yards	Kenneth Walker III	360
Receiving yards	Travis Kelce	231
Sacks	Nohl Williams	1
Tackles	Nick Bolton	28

2026 market baseline12+ wins · 49%The market currently gives Kansas City Chiefs a 49% chance to reach at least 12 wins.

Kansas City Chiefs 2026 Schedule

Kansas City Chiefs plays at Las Vegas Raiders on Oct 4 next.

Week	Date	Opponent	Time (ET)
4	Oct 4	@ Las Vegas Raiders	4:25 PM
6	Oct 18	vs Los Angeles Chargers	4:25 PM
7	Oct 25	@ Seattle Seahawks	8:20 PM
8	Nov 1	@ Denver Broncos	4:25 PM
9	Nov 8	vs New York Jets	1:00 PM
10	Nov 15	@ Atlanta Falcons	1:00 PM
11	Nov 22	vs Arizona Cardinals	1:00 PM
12	Nov 26	@ Buffalo Bills	8:20 PM

Kansas City Chiefs matchups

Head-to-head pages for every Kansas City Chiefs rivalry — division opponents first, then the rest of the league.

All NFL matchups

Chiefs Starting Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes is listed first on the Kansas City regular season depth chart, ahead of Justin Fields and Garrett Nussmeier.

QB

StarterPatrick MahomesQuarterback · Depth 1

Quarterback room

1Patrick Mahomes

2Justin Fields

3Garrett Nussmeier

Patrick Mahomes markets

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Chiefs Depth Chart

Patrick Mahomes is listed as Kansas City’s starting quarterback on the current regular season depth chart.

Position	Starter	Second	Third+
QB	Patrick Mahomes	Justin Fields	Garrett Nussmeier
RB	Kenneth Walker III	Emmett Johnson	Brashard Smith
FB	Ben VanSumeren	—	—
WR1	Rashee Rice	Xavier Worthy	Jalen Royals
WR2	Tyquan Thornton	Cyrus Allen	Nikko Remigio
TE	Travis Kelce	Noah Gray	Jared Wiley·Jake Briningstool

Kansas City Chiefs Last Game

Kansas City Chiefs won 24-10 against the Miami Dolphins in its most recent regular-season game on Sep 27, 2026.

Kansas City Chiefs

24Final10

Miami Dolphins

Recent form

W24-10@ MIA

W33-30vs IND

W31-10vs DEN

Kansas City Chiefs 2026 outlook

The Kansas City Chiefs play in the AFC West at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, which holds the Guinness record for the loudest crowd noise at a sports stadium. Founded in 1960 as the Dallas Texans, the club moved to Kansas City in 1963, won Super Bowl IV after the 1969 season and then waited half a century for a second. What followed was one of the most sustained runs in league history: titles after the 2019, 2022 and 2023 seasons, the first back-to-back Super Bowl wins in two decades, and a streak of AFC West titles and conference championship game appearances. Division games come twice a year against the Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers.This page keeps the Chiefs' roster, weekly injury report, next game and AFC West standings in one place, and prices them. The outlook panel above shows the market-implied probability that Kansas City wins the division, reaches the playoffs and wins the Super Bowl, with each market's latest move. Prices are set by traders on Kalshi and update continuously.

Frequently asked questions

What are the Chiefs' Super Bowl odds?Kalshi's Super Bowl market prices Kansas City at 8%, unchanged on its most recent move (updated Oct 3). Each contract settles to $1 if it happens, so the price reads directly as a probability. Kansas City has four championships from seven Super Bowl appearances, three of them since the 2019 season.

How many Super Bowls have the Chiefs won?Four: Super Bowl IV after the 1969 season, then LIV, LVII and LVIII after 2019, 2022 and 2023, the last two consecutive. Kansas City has also lost three, Super Bowl I after 1966, LV after 2020 and LIX after 2024. The franchise won AFL Championships in 1962 and 1966 as well. The franchise history section below lists the titles.

What are the Chiefs' playoff chances?The market puts Kansas City's playoff probability at 86% and its AFC West probability at 54% (updated Oct 3). The Chiefs have held the division for an extended run, so this market usually opens high and the interesting movement is in the change rather than the level. The schedule section below lists the games left.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs next games

Kansas City Chiefs odds

Kansas City Chiefs markets

2027 NFL Champion

AFC Championship Winner

NFL Playoff Qualifiers

Kansas City Chiefs Most Traded Players

Kansas City Chiefs Record and AFC West Standings

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Kansas City Chiefs Roster

Kansas City Chiefs Playoff Chances

Kansas City Chiefs Season Stats

Kansas City Chiefs 2026 Schedule

Kansas City Chiefs matchups

Chiefs Starting Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes markets

Chiefs Depth Chart

Kansas City Chiefs Last Game

Kansas City Chiefs 2026 outlook

Frequently asked questions