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Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Trending

1
Mention: Conan O'Brien hosts the OscarsWarner
31%
▼44
2
Oscar for Best Actor?Michael B. Jordan
58%
▲2
3
Oscar for Best Picture?One Battle After Another
78%
▲1

2026 Primaries

1
How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?7 or more
44%
▼1
2
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?2
49%
▲10
3
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout?Above 2,600,000
1%––

Top movers

1
Women's Round of 32 QualifiersGrand Canyon
2%
▼97
2
Men's College Basketball Tournament Most Outstanding PlayerAJ Dybantsa
2%
▼97
3
Pro Baseball Wins LeaderZac Gallen
2%
▼97

New

1
Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?Robin
60%––
2
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?Before Mar 18, 2026
75%
▲13
3
Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference?Jack Lu
40%
▲5

Highest volume

1
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
$61,148,825 vol39 markets
28%––
2
Men's College Basketball ChampionDuke
$54,607,092 vol82 markets
22%
▲1
3
Pro Basketball Champion?Oklahoma City
$40,042,350 vol30 markets
39%
▲1
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Oscars

Awards

Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?

Sean Penn
Sean Penn
1.28x
Stellan Skarsgard
Stellan Skarsgard
5.88x
$6,302,337 vol17 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Awards

Oscar for Best Picture?

One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.28x
Sinners
Sinners
4.55x
$19,481,131 vol19 markets
Awards

Oscar for Best Director?

Paul Thomas Anderson
Paul Thomas Anderson
1.06x
Ryan Coogler
Ryan Coogler
20.0x
$5,173,441 vol16 markets
Awards

Oscar for Best Actress?

Jessie Buckley
Jessie Buckley
1.02x
Rose Byrne
Rose Byrne
50.0x
$4,902,149 vol16 markets

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
1.97x
At least 55 days
1.76x
$4,455,155 vol21 markets
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.59x
Before 2027
7.14x
$223,537 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
10.4x
$1,372,698 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.35x
Between 20% and 29.99%
6.25x
$42,762 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$61,148,825 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.63x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$22,028,264 vol30 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,774,628 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.75x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.33x
$1,721,786 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

xAI
2.08x
OpenAI
1.72x
$854,586 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
2.17x
330000 or more
1.59x
$413,066 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.33x
Before October 2026
2.86x
$3,687,667 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI
OpenAI
1.92x
Anthropic
Anthropic
2.22x
$987,296 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.35x
$7,118 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 1 cut
3.70x
Exactly 0 cuts
3.70x
$2,077,453 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.22x
No
4.98x
$2,179,544 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.61x
$9,165 vol10 markets

Oscar for Best Actor?

MarketPays outOdds
Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
1.67x
Timothee Chalamet
Timothee Chalamet
2.98x
$18,453,520 vol4 markets

News · The Best Actor race at the 98th Academy Awards is shaping up as one of the night’s most unpredictable contests, with several performers in strong contention, BBC News Reports. Michael B. Jordan’s performance in “Sinners” has gained late momentum after recent awards wins, while Timothée Chalamet and others remain firmly in the mix heading into Sunday's ceremony.

Oscar for Best Picture?

MarketPays outOdds
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.26x
Sinners
Sinners
4.31x
$19,484,298 vol9 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards take place Sunday in Los Angeles, with the Best Picture race widely seen as a showdown between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners,' KTLA Reports. Paul Thomas Anderson's political comedy-thriller built early momentum during awards season, while Ryan Coogler's vampire drama gained attention with 16 nominations and a major ensemble win at the Actor Awards.

Who will attend the Oscars?

MarketPays outOdds
Zendaya
Zendaya
1.20x
Margot Robbie
Margot Robbie
7.85x
$1,419,553 vol10 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards will take place Sunday evening in Hollywood, with the ceremony airing at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, Boston.com Reports. The event will honor films across major categories including Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress during one of the film industry's biggest nights.

Mention: Conan O'Brien hosts the Oscars

MarketPays outOdds
Hollywood
1.38x
Warner
3.18x
$500,541 vol13 markets

News · Conan O'Brien said hosting the Oscars requires balancing humor with real-world issues while entertaining viewers during Hollywood's biggest night, Yahoo! Entertainment reports. The comedian said his monologue continues evolving until showtime as he tries to acknowledge current events while keeping the ceremony fun and moving smoothly.

Men's Round of 64 Qualifiers

MarketPays outOdds
North Carolina St.
North Carolina St.
1.93x
Texas
Texas
1.86x
$3,462,277 vol104 markets

News · The 68-team field for the men’s national college basketball tournament will be announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, giving fans their first look at the full bracket, USA TODAY Reports. The reveal comes after most conference championship games wrapped up this weekend, allowing teams and fans to begin preparing for the opening round matchups.

What will be said during CBS Selection Sunday?

MarketPays outOdds
Perfect
11.7x
Miracle
4.13x
$44,232 vol16 markets

News · After a weekend of conference title games, the picture for the men’s national college basketball tournament is finally coming into focus. The full 68-team bracket will be revealed at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, USA TODAY reports. The announcement will determine the final tournament field and set the opening-round matchups, marking the moment when teams and fans can see exactly how the road to the championship begins.

Indian Wells Championship: Sinner vs Medvedev

LIVE
Jannik Sinner
76
Daniil Medvedev
66
$10,578,120 vol

News · Jannik Sinner will meet Daniil Medvedev in the men's final of the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells Tennis Garden on Sunday, New York Post reports. Both players are seeking their first title at the event after Sinner advanced past Alexander Zverev and Medvedev defeated Carlos Alcaraz to reach the championship match.
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