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Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Trending

1
Oscar for Best Actor?Michael B. Jordan
59%
▲4
2
Oscar for Best Picture?One Battle After Another
78%
▲1
3
Oscar for Best Director?Paul Thomas Anderson
94%
▲2

2026 Primaries

1
How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?7 or more
43%
▼2
2
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?2
49%
▲10
3
Florida Republican Governor nominee?Byron Donalds
81%
▼4

Top movers

1
Women's Round of 32 QualifiersGrand Canyon
2%
▼97
2
Men's College Basketball Tournament Most Outstanding PlayerAJ Dybantsa
2%
▼97
3
Pro Baseball Wins LeaderZac Gallen
2%
▼97

New

1
Which wildlife will be on the Bank of England banknote shortlist?Robin
60%––
2
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?Before Mar 18, 2026
75%
▲13
3
Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference?Donald Trump
56%
▲1

Highest volume

1
THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?Matt Fitzpatrick
$87,744,831 vol73 markets
59%
▲53
2
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
$61,057,367 vol39 markets
30%
▲2
3
Men's College Basketball ChampionDuke
$53,823,116 vol111 markets
21%
▲1
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Oscars

Awards

Oscar for Best Actor?

Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
1.69x
Timothee Chalamet
Timothee Chalamet
3.33x
$16,239,327 vol16 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Awards

Oscar for Best Picture?

One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.28x
Sinners
Sinners
5.00x
$17,562,870 vol19 markets
Awards

Oscar for Best Director?

Paul Thomas Anderson
Paul Thomas Anderson
1.06x
Ryan Coogler
Ryan Coogler
14.3x
$4,517,290 vol16 markets
Awards

Oscar for Best Actress?

Jessie Buckley
Jessie Buckley
1.03x
Rose Byrne
Rose Byrne
33.3x
$3,963,146 vol16 markets

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
2.09x
At least 55 days
1.76x
$4,444,916 vol21 markets
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.59x
Before 2027
7.14x
$223,537 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
10.4x
$1,372,374 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.35x
Between 20% and 29.99%
6.25x
$42,762 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$61,057,367 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.63x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$22,013,714 vol30 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,773,893 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.75x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.27x
$1,721,123 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

xAI
2.08x
OpenAI
1.72x
$854,563 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
2.22x
330000 or more
1.64x
$412,838 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.50x
Before October 2026
3.23x
$3,672,030 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI
OpenAI
1.82x
Anthropic
Anthropic
2.22x
$986,916 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.35x
$7,118 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 1 cut
3.70x
Exactly 0 cuts
3.85x
$2,075,533 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.33x
No
3.40x
$2,163,040 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.61x
$9,165 vol10 markets

Oscar for Best Actor?

MarketPays outOdds
Michael B. Jordan
Michael B. Jordan
1.65x
Timothee Chalamet
Timothee Chalamet
3.18x
$16,256,893 vol4 markets

News · The Best Actor race at the 98th Academy Awards is shaping up as one of the night’s most unpredictable contests, with several performers in strong contention, BBC News Reports. Michael B. Jordan’s performance in “Sinners” has gained late momentum after recent awards wins, while Timothée Chalamet and others remain firmly in the mix heading into Sunday's ceremony.

THE PLAYERS Championship Winner?

LIVERound 4
Matt Fitzpatrick
Cameron Young
$87,814,666 vol71 markets

News · Rory McIlroy said a back injury is improving but a final decision on defending his Players Championship title at TPC Sawgrass will likely come shortly before his scheduled tee time, BBC Sport Reports. The Northern Irish golfer withdrew from the Arnold Palmer Invitational after aggravating the injury but said the issue is muscular and improving as he prepares for a potential return.

Oscar for Best Picture?

MarketPays outOdds
One Battle After Another
One Battle After Another
1.26x
Sinners
Sinners
4.51x
$17,576,390 vol9 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards take place Sunday in Los Angeles, with the Best Picture race widely seen as a showdown between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners,' KTLA Reports. Paul Thomas Anderson's political comedy-thriller built early momentum during awards season, while Ryan Coogler's vampire drama gained attention with 16 nominations and a major ensemble win at the Actor Awards.

Indian Wells Championship: Sinner vs Medvedev

LIVE
Jannik Sinner
0
Daniil Medvedev
0
$5,265,493 vol

News · Jannik Sinner will meet Daniil Medvedev in the men's final of the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells Tennis Garden on Sunday, New York Post reports. Both players are seeking their first title at the event after Sinner advanced past Alexander Zverev and Medvedev defeated Carlos Alcaraz to reach the championship match.

Who will attend the Oscars?

MarketPays outOdds
Hailee Steinfeld
Hailee Steinfeld
2.66x
Connor Storrie
Connor Storrie
3.52x
$869,557 vol10 markets

News · The 98th Academy Awards will take place Sunday evening in Hollywood, with the ceremony airing at 7 p.m. ET on ABC, Boston.com Reports. The event will honor films across major categories including Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress during one of the film industry's biggest nights.

Men's Round of 64 Qualifiers

MarketPays outOdds
SMU
SMU
1.90x
Texas
Texas
1.97x
$2,728,021 vol164 markets

News · The 68-team field for the men’s national college basketball tournament will be announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, giving fans their first look at the full bracket, USA TODAY Reports. The reveal comes after most conference championship games wrapped up this weekend, allowing teams and fans to begin preparing for the opening round matchups.

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

MarketPays outOdds
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.90x
Republican Party
Republican Party
1.93x
$2,379,985 vol

News · Democrats may have new opportunities to compete for Senate seats in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and Montana as the 2026 midterms approach, according to a political analysis, The Hill Reports. The races could determine control of the chamber as the elections are framed as a referendum on the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term.
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