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Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233
5.25x
234-237
6.74x
$2,572,028 vol12 markets
House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.29x
Democrats, 10 to 12%
3.96x
$2,230,856 vol10 markets
House

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193
3.08x
198-202
5.25x
$3,723,511 vol11 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?

20
2.29x
19
3.40x
$33,721 vol10 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?

10
1.38x
Above 10
6.74x
$39,127 vol5 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa?

Above 2
1.90x
2
2.98x
$16,413 vol4 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama?

1
1.31x
2
3.80x
$12,098 vol4 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

11
2.52x
10
3.96x
$59,677 vol8 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?

1
1.46x
2
3.80x
$42,894 vol4 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada?

3
1.40x
4
3.66x
$33,642 vol4 markets
House Combos

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Before 1AM Nov 4
1.86x
Before Nov 4
2.19x
$13,367 vol8 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 235
1.79x
Above 238
2.14x
$15,483 vol14 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12
3.66x
11
4.31x
$48,083 vol8 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7
2.66x
8
3.18x
$239,534 vol7 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?

0
1.14x
1
6.29x
$5,935 vol4 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Louisiana?

1
1.05x
Above 2
23.4x
$7,703 vol4 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48
1.34x
47
4.51x
$19,500 vol8 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?

5
1.90x
6
3.96x
$25,136 vol6 markets
House

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win this year?

At least 40
1.93x
At least 35
1.36x
$4,389 vol11 markets
House Combos

Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?

Yes
1.36x
No
3.08x
$425 vol1 market
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6
2.40x
5
3.80x
$14,905 vol7 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in North Carolina?

5
2.24x
3
4.51x
$29,698 vol7 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

4
1.33x
5
5.56x
$29,232 vol5 markets
Seat Count

How many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?

9
2.66x
8
3.40x
$63,861 vol7 markets