AI capability growth this year?
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1375 elo score
Yes
At least 1375 elo score
Yes
At least 1400 elo score
Yes
At least 1400 elo score
Yes
At least 1500 elo score
No
At least 1500 elo score
No
3 more
Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Market Rules
At least 1350 elo score
If an AI model has an Elo score of at least 1350 before Jan 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 25, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXAISPIKE
EventKXAISPIKE-26
MarketKXAISPIKE-26-1350
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.