AI capability growth before July?

AI capability growth before July?

Begins in 34 days · Jul 1, 12:00am EDT

$205,940 vol

ALL

Chance

Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Market Rules

At least 1525 score

If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 6, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout5 minutes after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close and expire the following 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 1, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.

SeriesKXAISPIKE

EventKXAISPIKE-26B

MarketKXAISPIKE-26B-1525

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.