Who will win the Bolivian election?

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2025

% Chance

Manfred Reyes Villa

39%

Manfred Reyes Villa

39%

Luis Arce

24%

Luis Arce

24%

Jorge Quiroga

27%

Jorge Quiroga

27%

8 more markets

Rules summary for

Manfred Reyes Villa

If Manfred Reyes Villa is sworn in as President of Bolivia pursuant to the 2025 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from AP.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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