Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive115AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE115
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Trump

Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet next?

Chance
Pete Hegseth
Secretary of Defense
53%
▲ 19

Pete Hegseth

Secretary of Defense
53%
▲ 19
Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
17%
▼ 1

Marco Rubio

Secretary of State
17%
▼ 1
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
HHS Secretary
14%
▼ 1

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

HHS Secretary
14%
▼ 1
More markets
Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet next?

Pete Hegseth

Odds
65% chance
Max payout
Jan 20, 2029
$0
$13,467 vol

AI Digest · House faces vote on impeaching Defense Secretary Hegseth over Iran war

Not advice
More Politics Markets

Trending Politics markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?US-Iran nuclear deal?Will the House impeach Trump?Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Politics hub

All Politics markets