California governor primary: which candidates will win a county? Odds & Predictions 2026
California governor primary: which candidates will win a county?
LIVE
California governor primary: which candidates will win a county?
LIVE
Chance
Steve Hilton
98.9%
Steve Hilton
98.9%
Chad Bianco
96.2%
Chad Bianco
96.2%
Katie Porter
<1%
Katie Porter
<1%
3 more
Market Rules
Steve Hilton
If Steve Hilton wins any county in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from California Secretary of State.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 26, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 27, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXCAGOVCOUNTY
EventKXCAGOVCOUNTY-26
MarketKXCAGOVCOUNTY-26-SHIL
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event