Chinese LLM ranked in the top ten in 2024? Odds & Predictions
Chinese LLM ranked in the top ten in 2024?
Chinese LLM ranked in the top ten in 2024?
$2,194 vol
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Qwen1.5-72B-Chat
If a Chinese LLM (e.g. one made by Alibaba) is ranked as one of the top ten LLMs before Dec 31, 2024, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from LMSYS.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 10, 2024 · 8:00am EST
Market closedFeb 16, 2024 · 10:05am EST
Paid outDec 31, 2024 · 10:32am EST
SeriesKXCHINALLM
EventCHINALLM-24DEC31
MarketCHINALLM-24DEC31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The world of large language models (LLMs) is currently dominated by American companies like Google (Gemini) and OpenAI (ChatGPT). Will a Chinese LLM break into the top 10 in 2024?