When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Chance
Before Jun 19, 2026
5%
▼ 83
Before Jun 19, 2026
5%
▼ 83
Before Jun 24, 2026
12%
▼ 79
Before Jun 24, 2026
12%
▼ 79
Before Jun 27, 2026
50%
▼ 41
Before Jun 27, 2026
50%
▼ 41
Market Rules
Before Jun 19, 2026
If Jay Clayton is the first person confirmed as Director of National Intelligence before Jun 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 11, 2026 · 10:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCLAYTONCONF
EventKXCLAYTONCONF-26JUN11
MarketKXCLAYTONCONF-26JUN11-JUN19
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