US credit rating downgrade this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
US credit rating downgrade this year?
US credit rating downgrade this year?
Begins in 185 days · Dec 31, 10:00pm EST
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Rating reduced
Resolves Yes ifU.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 1, 2026 · 12:01am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.
SeriesKXCREDITRATING
EventKXCREDITRATING-26DEC31
MarketKXCREDITRATING-26DEC31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.