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  1. Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Or any qualifying crypto market structure bill


Chance

Before Jul 1, 2027
15%
▲ 4

Before Jul 1, 2027

15%
▲ 4

Before Oct 1, 2027
19%

Before Oct 1, 2027

19%

Before Jan 1, 2028
23%

Before Jan 1, 2028

23%

More markets

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Odds
1% chance
Max payout
Dec 1, 2026
$0
$10,337,561 vol
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Politics hub

All Politics markets