Will the debt ceiling be abolished? Odds & Predictions 2025
Will the debt ceiling be abolished?
Will the debt ceiling be abolished?
Chance
Before 2027
1.1%
Before 2027
1.1%
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2025 · 6:30pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXDCEILEND
EventKXDCEILEND-26
MarketKXDCEILEND-26-27
Insider trading is prohibited
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