How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

below 7.60 65%

below 7.50 46%

below 7.25 38%

ALL

By 2028

Chance

$28,105vol

below 7.60

65%

▲ 43

below 7.60

65%

▲ 43

below 7.50

46%

below 7.50

46%

below 7.25

38%

below 7.25

38%

4 more markets

Rules summary for

below 7.50

If the United States falls below 7.50 in any year between 2025 and 2028 on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The Economist.

Timeline and payout

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