How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

Chance

below 7.50

73%

below 7.50

73%

below 7.25

46%

below 7.25

46%

below 7.00

36%

below 7.00

36%

4 more

Market Rules

below 7.60

If the United States falls below 7.60 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The Economist.

Timeline and payout

Market openNov 12, 2024 · 10:00pm EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout5 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 17, 2029 at 11:00am EDT.

SeriesKXDEMOCRACYUS

EventKXDEMOCRACYUS-28

MarketKXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.60

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.