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  1. International

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil’s Supreme Court?

Resolves on the actual departure date, not the announcement


Chance

Before Jan 1, 2027
4%
▼ 6

Before Jan 1, 2027

4%
▼ 6

Before Jul 1, 2027
25%

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Jan 1, 2028
46%

Before Jan 1, 2028

46%

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil’s Supreme Court?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Odds
9% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2026
$0
$19,120 vol
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