How strong of an earthquake will occur before Jun 1, 2026? Odds & Predictions
How strong of an earthquake will occur before Jun 1, 2026?
How strong of an earthquake will occur before Jun 1, 2026?
At least 6.8
Yes
At least 6.8
Yes
At least 6.9
Yes
At least 6.9
Yes
At least 7.0
No
At least 7.0
No
5 more
Market Rules
At least 6.8
The outcome is Yes
If an earthquake with a magnitude of at least 6.8 on the Richter scale occurs after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from USGS.
Earthquake magnitudes are checked at 10:00 AM ET every day. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 13, 2026 ยท 5:30pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 27, 2026 at 5:51pm EDT.
SeriesKXEARTHQUAKE
EventKXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY
MarketKXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY-68
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.