Will the United Kingdom join the EU? Odds & Predictions
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
Chance
By Dec 31, 2031
23%
▼ 1
By Dec 31, 2031
23%
▼ 1
By Dec 31, 2034
18%
▼ 15
By Dec 31, 2034
18%
▼ 15
By Dec 31, 2039
63%
▲ 19
By Dec 31, 2039
63%
▲ 19
Market Rules
By Dec 31, 2031
Resolves Yes ifthe United Kingdom has joined the EU by Dec 31, 2031, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is by Dec 31, 2031.Outcome verified from EU.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 18, 2026 · 12:06pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, this market will close the following 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2031 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXEUUK
EventKXEUUK-25
MarketKXEUUK-25-31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.