Fed funds rate in December 2025? Odds & Predictions
Fed funds rate in December 2025?
Fed funds rate in December 2025?
Above 3.25%
Yes
Above 3.25%
Yes
Above 3.50%
Yes
Above 3.50%
Yes
Above 3.75%
No
Above 3.75%
No
8 more
Market Rules
Above 2.75%
The outcome is 3.75
Resolves Yes ifthe upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 10, 2025 meeting.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 10, 2025 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 21, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedDec 10, 2025 · 1:55pm EST
Paid outDec 10, 2025 · 2:05pm EST
SeriesKXFED
EventFED-25DEC
MarketFED-25DEC-T2.75
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.