Fed funds rate after September meeting? Odds & Predictions 2026
Fed funds rate after September meeting?
Fed funds rate after September meeting?
Begins in 89 days · Sep 16, 1:00pm EDT
Chance
Above 3.50%
97%
▲ 8
Above 3.50%
97%
▲ 8
Above 3.75%
39%
▲ 15
Above 3.75%
39%
▲ 15
Above 4.00%
17%
▲ 11
Above 4.00%
17%
▲ 11
8 more
Market Rules
Above 2.75%
Resolves Yes ifthe upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Sep 16, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 6, 2025 · 10:30am EDT
Market closesSep 16, 2026 · 1:55pm EDT
Projected payoutSep 16, 2026 · 2:10pm EDT
SeriesKXFED
EventKXFED-26SEP
MarketKXFED-26SEP-T2.75
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.