Will the CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens have 2/3 or more of seats after the 2025 German election?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
%
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
$7,111vol
Order book
Rules summary
If the CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens have at least 399 seats after the 2025 German federal election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico.
Timeline and payout
People are also betting
What share of the vote will the AfD get in the German election?
67% chance
· 20% to 24.9%
What share of the vote will the SPD get in the German election?
60% chance
· 15% to 19.9%
What parties will win a seat in parliament in the 2025 German elections?
55% chance
· BSW
What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU get in the German election?
57% chance
· 30.1% or aboveWill the CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens have 2/3 or more of seats after the 2025 German election?
Buy YesBuy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side