Will the AfD poll first in any German poll this year?
9
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
8
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
%
▲ 00
1
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
5
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025 (+0)
$3,975vol
Yes
Rules summary
If Alternative für Deutschland is polling solely in first place in any poll listed by Walrecht.de before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Wahlrecht.de.
Timeline and payout
